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Choosing a goalkeeper
The team's clean sheet chance comes before the L10
Choose a goalkeeper by his team's chance of a clean sheet, before his L10. When that chance is 55% or more, a starting goalkeeper scores 60 or more in 57% of starts. When it is under 15%, he does so in 18%.
Why does the clean sheet count so much?
Because a goalkeeper without a clean sheet reaches 60 in only 6% of starts. With one, he almost always does. The chance of a clean sheet is read from the odds, and sorlineup shows it next to each goalkeeper. The higher it is, the more often he reaches 60.
Most starts sit in the middle. About six in ten have a clean sheet chance between 25% and 45%. The rate of 60 or more is 29% in the lower half of that range (25% to 35%) and 36% in the upper half (35% to 45%).
Does the goalkeeper's form add anything?
Almost nothing, once the clean sheet chance is known.
A goalkeeper reaches 60 more often as his team's clean sheet chance rises, whatever his L10
Share of starts where the goalkeeper scored 60 or more, by his team's chance of a clean sheet and by his own L10.
Starts at 60 or more (%)
Team's chance of a clean sheet
Team's chance of a clean sheet
Under 25%
25% to 40%
40% or more
Starts at 60 or more (%)
Within one class of chance, a low and a high L10 are about 3 points apart. Each class covers a wide range of chances, so part of that gap is still the clean sheet chance, not the L10. From the lowest class to the highest, the rate rises by about 22 points in all three L10 groups.
Between two goalkeepers, look at the clean sheet chance first, and at the L10 only when the two chances are close.
Do saves make up for a low clean sheet chance?
No. A goalkeeper with a clean sheet chance under 15% earns about 13 more points in the Goalkeeping category than one at 55% or more. He still finishes 11 points lower on average: the goals conceded and the missing clean sheet cost more than the saves bring.
Method and limits
The data covers 15,469 starts by goalkeepers who played 60 minutes or more, in 50 competitions, from 1 July 2025 to 22 September 2026. The clean sheet chance is known for 14,058 of them and comes from the odds, in most cases the closing ones. It is too high on average: 31.6%, where 26.5% of starts ended with a clean sheet. You see the odds before the deadline, not the closing ones, and the effect of that difference is not measured yet. The L10 is recomputed from past matches and can differ from the value Sorare shows. None of this predicts a match: the figures describe an average over the period.